risk

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Preflight

When a request names a period, call resolve_period(ticker, expression, as_of?) first and use its fiscal period_id; never derive a quarter from the fiscal-calendar month, pass as_of for historical analysis, and return a typed absence instead of widening the date range.

Run canonical pre-flight per contracts/preflight.md.

Include the X-Agentii-Trace header on every tool call per contracts/x-agentii-trace-header.md — carry the _run_id from your first tool result and name yourself (and your parent, if you were spawned).

Triggers

• analyze risk analysis
• run risk analysis analysis
• produce risk analysis report
• risk analysis breakdown
• risk analysis deep dive
• build a risk analysis
• assess risk analysis
• quantify risk analysis
• compare risk analysis across peers
• review risk analysis for
• generate risk analysis on
• risk analysis for investment decision

Defaults

Methodology

Retrieval Scope

This skill performs unstructured document search at scale (10-K, 10-Q, 8-K filings and earnings call transcripts spanning multiple fiscal periods). The three-layer agent-use-ready retrieval protocol (Document Discovery → Page Map → Deep Read) applies to all unstructured document search at scale.

Retrieval Strategy

Follow the retrieval strategy decision tree in contracts/retrieval.md. This skill uses:

• Branch (a) for structured financial metrics via search_xbrl_facts with list_xbrl_concepts pre-condition for unfamiliar concepts.
• Branch (c) for single-period document queries via direct read_source_outline → read_source_pages.
• Branch (d) for simple lookups via get_company_profile / search_earnings_calendar.

Layer 1 secondary_label allowlist : prefer ?secondary_labels=other_events_8_01 to surface risk-event 8-Ks (litigation, regulatory action, cyber incidents) before Layer 2. Also score Layer 2 pages whose labels.general.keywords contain "risk factors" entity terms.

Read before you quote. A page's description is platform-generated — it is never the issuer's

words and must never be quoted as the filing's. When a description identifies a relevant page,

read_source_pages that page and quote its page_content. **The description is a pointer, not a

source**: a citation written from one is the fabricated quote this skill's output standard exists to

prevent (contracts/retrieval.md § Three-Layer Document Protocol).

Temporal Scope

Default: 4 fiscal quarters (max 8). Risk analysis: trailing 4 quarters for near-term risk exposure + forward indicators

Tool Allowlist

See frontmatter allowed_tools.

Protocol

This skill delivers analyst-grade output via 4 addressable mode(s); invoke with --mode=<slug> / --modes=<slug1>,<slug2> / --mode=all (see [Mode syntax](../../../../docs/commands/MODE_SYNTAX.md). The default invocation (no flag) runs the essentials_modes subset declared in this skill's frontmatter.

Analyst Modes

This skill exposes addressable analysis modes (--mode=<slug> / --modes=<s1>,<s2> / --mode=all; see [Mode syntax](../../../../docs/commands/MODE_SYNTAX.md)). The full mode definitions and their output templates live in references/modes.md. The default invocation runs the essentials subset.

Tool Fallbacks

Per-tool failure modes and fallback actions are tabulated in references/tool-fallbacks.md.

Output File

Write the final deliverable to {ticker}/{YYYY-MM-DD_HHMM}_risk_risk-assessment.md .

Output Structure

The deliverable is a structured markdown report written to the path in ## Output File. Full section-by-section template (headings, tables, and field definitions) lives in references/output-structure.md. Required elements:

1. Executive Summary — headline conclusions (≤200 words).
2. Core analysis sections — per this skill's methodology and analyst modes.
3. Data classification — tag findings [FACT] / [DEDUCTED] / [VIEW] per contracts/snapshot-synthesis.md.
4. Coverage Gaps & Citations — coverage gaps are required; inline /v/ citations are the citation surface (immediately after each fact). A bottom roll-up index is optional, and where kept it must not repeat a link the prose already carries.
5. Output frontmatter — emit the FR-090 structured block per contracts/output-frontmatter-schema.md.

Citations & memory: follow contracts/citation-and-memory.md — ≥1 citation per 200 words; every material fact, table row, and metric is immediately followed by its inline clickable https://agentii.ai/v/{ticker}/{citation_id}/{N} link; citations belong inline, a bottom roll-up index is optional and never a repeat of a link already given; the closing TUI reply includes a compact Key Citations list (headline 5–10 facts) of clickable /v/ URLs; and append the run to agentii.md per contracts/agentii-md-schema.md.

Memory & Snapshot

• Memory load (pre-flight): load prior workspace context for the ticker before retrieval — see contracts/memory-load.md.
• Structured output frontmatter: emit the FR-090 block (key_metrics, conclusions, facts_count, deducted_count, views_count, citation_count) per contracts/output-frontmatter-schema.md.
• Snapshot synthesis: after writing the deliverable, update the two-tier snapshot and classify findings as [FACT]/[DEDUCTED]/[VIEW] — see contracts/snapshot-synthesis.md.
• Session archival: record the run under sessions/{YYYY-MM-DD}/ and update sessions/INDEX.md per contracts/session-format.md.

Final Summary (TUI)

End the closing chat reply with the summary shape in contracts/citation-and-memory.md — Citation Placement Policy item 3: title · key conclusions · key metrics · Executive Summary · Key Citations (the headline 5–10 facts, each a clickable https://agentii.ai/v/{ticker}/{citation_id}/{N} link), so the user can cmd+click straight to the exact SEC page without opening the file.

Error Handling